Re: NAQT ICT Picks

• From: lampdwellr <no_reply_at_yahoogroups.com>
• Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:22 -0000
• Message-ID: <b2ej76+f22f_at_...>

--- In quizbowl_at_yahoogroups.com, bigflax29 <no_reply_at_y...> wrote:
> --- In quizbowl_at_yahoogroups.com, lampdwellr <no_reply_at_y...> wrote:
> > > BUBBLE IN (6):
> > > Princeton A
> > > Delaware A
> > > Iowa A
> > > Northwestern
> > > Illinois B
> 
> Assuming this is even relatively accurate, it suggests interesting 
> things about NAQT's formula to me.  For example, you have not only 
us 
> (6-8) but also Illinois B (5-9) going over Minnesota (7-7).  I 
know 
> wins and losses aren't everything, and our stats are quite a bit 
> better than Minnesota's in a boss comparison (averaging +8.2 
margin 
> to UM's -46.6, and 0.6 more points per bonus), but they did beat 
us 
> twice, if in ridiculously close games both times.  Not that I'd 
> complain if we did get a bid, mind you.
> 
> Robert Flaxman
> NUQB

You're absolutely right that it is a little strange, but we all know 
that the best teams don't always win the matches.  NAQT's formula is 
supposed to correct for that, but I wonder whether it's in keeping 
with general rules of competition.  As for my decision, it was 
partially the points per bonus and partially the low power numbers 
that had me leaving Minnesota off.  I should have placed them on the 
BUBBLE OUT list though, that was an oversight, because they did 
outscore South Florida and some others on bonus conversion.

Steve Bahnaman
Emory