Re: Power matching: NAQT ICT comments II

"I would prefer going back to a 2/3 with NO
disadvantage for the ICT finals (in all divisions). "

I
have never, in the many tournaments I've attended that
unfortunately used this system, agreed with it. As far as I've
been concerned, a round robin tournament does a fairly
good job in putting teams in relative order...it's not
perfect, and it's not expected to be. Packets vary,
players moods vary, effects of moderators and rooms vary,
etc. 

It is rarely the case that team one is
_twice_ as good as team two, especially in the finals of
a large tournament. Yet, by nature of the finals
advantage, you make it twice as hard for the team in second
place to beat the team in first. 

Admittedly,
this is a statistically stupid explanation, but I've
had a hard time explaining why this weighted two of
three gnaws at me so much. One thing has to do with my
belief that the matches are inherently different, and
that it should do you no more harm or benefit to lose
to Dogpatch U in the round robin than to lose to
Midwestern Powerhouse A. Obviously, NAQT disagrees, and I
can accept that. Even within their assumption that a
game isn't just a game, I'd really like to see some
evidence that a weighted two-of-three is so much better as
to warrant it's potential impact on the
finals.

In a larger sense, I'm asking this question:
What
gain in "accuracy" is worth what gain in
"annoyingness?" If Illinois is truly the best team, (which I have
little doubt) how much more likely were they to win
given this format over a simple split round robin with
single-elim playoffs, or whatever a less ambitious tournament
director would have done, and was that difference REALLY
worth it?

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