<<I have a question that I am certain someone here can answer. What is the URL to the page with the entire Points Created formula on it? I can't seem to find the darned thing.>> I wasn't able to find it either, although, if memory serves me, Points Created hasn't been used at any tournament in several years. In any case, though, I'd like to mention a simpler version of Points Created, which I call Points per Adjusted Tossups Heard (PATH). Penn Bowl 10 statistics have been posted in PATH ( <a href=http://www.pennbowl.org/pennbowl10/indstat.html target=new>http://www.pennbowl.org/pennbowl10/indstat.html</a> ); since I had to do PATH analysis for the ICT prognostication contest, *those* results are available at <a href=http://www.pennbowl.org/ictind.html target=new>http://www.pennbowl.org/ictind.html</a> . The basic formula for PATH is [Player points x 20] / [(Total TUs heard - teammate TUs - 0.5 * teammate -5s) x (TUs heard by player / TUs heard by team)] For a team that makes no substitutions, the last fraction is 1.0, and drops out, leaving Player points x 20 / (Total TUs heard - teammate TUs - 0.5 * teammate -5s) [Example: Statistics for a two-person team, 10 untimed rounds (200 TUs): Player A: 40-10 (350 pts, 35 PPG) Player B: 30-10 (250 pts, 25 PPG) Player A: 350 x 20 / [200 - 30 - .5*10] = 7000/160 = 43.75 PATH Player B: 250 x 20 / [200 - 40 - .5*10] = 5000/150 = 33.33 PATH] The goal of PATH is to estimate what a player would score, over the course of 20 tossups, *playing without teammates.* [For a one-person team, therefore, PATH is identical to points per 20 TU heard.] It does so by adjusting for the shadow effect (better teammates will tend to lower *your* scoring), and for match length in timed matches. It does *not* increase the interrupt penalty, or attempt to incorporate bonus conversion. Also, since it was a point of confusion, I should point out that the way *you* achieve your points has no effect on PATH, but how your *teammates* achieve it does: if you have a teammate that scores 0 PPG going 0-0, that player contributes nothing to your PATH. If he or she does it by having a TU/I ratio of 1-2, then those TUs and -5s do contribute to your PATH. The major advantage is that it is relatively simple to calculate: it can be done with a single formula (although I personally use four separate formulae because I find it easier that way). I can say that I put enough stock in its results that I plan to use it again for the stats for Penn Bowl 11. --STI
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